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Jeff Jacobs - page 19

Jeff Jacobs has 240 articles published.

How Pioneer Square Has Changed

I was downtown today in my old stomping ground in Pioneer Square.  I used to work in this area for a young start-up.  A few of the companies have left the area but considering the hard times and all most of the ones I visited are still there. Our office was across the street from Safeco Field and it was quite an enjoyable place.  Before that we were in the artist area just a block away I would say.  One thing I really miss is lunch.  There was so many great options.  Usually it was Subway but their used to be a quick little pizza place (sold by the slice) which was convenient.  Inside, they had an upstairs area with some nice windows (looking down on the area) and it was quit.  you could just go up there and get away for an hour.  That place was closed up and I can’t even remember its name.  It was almost across the street from Trinity Nightclub.  To get to Subway, we would walk through the brick park (which still stinks) and is full or the homeless. There used to be a bathroom there but it appears that has now been removed.

Other than that is seems about the same and that is pretty impressive considering the hardship many are facing in many of the cities.

The Best Property I have seen all Year

The property at 5656 36th Avenue SW http://www.redfin.com/WA/Seattle/5656-36th-Ave-SW-98126/home/470556 has been on the market for 254 days. It is the best property I have seen in a very long time. It is dated, and has aluminum siding, but you can tell the people who had it build had money.

It sits up off the street with South West exposure. The listing agent makes a lot about the view, but the value is in the structure. When you jump on the second floor it feels like concrete. The foundation may have been added later because it is thick and has structure that for 1940 construction would have been ahead of it’s time. The aluminum siding I would bet is covering the original siding that must be in pretty good shape, because that siding would only have been exposed for about 20 years.

Yes the kitchen, and bath could be remodeled, or they could be refurbished. The bath room looks to be in good shape. I would add a bath to the second floor. I’m sure the structure can handle it.

For $450K this seems like a great place to hold onto. It might even take an offer. It is an estate sale. To me though I can see it selling again for more than this asking price. It may just need a little more love.

Ambers Bar Belltown Seattle

One of my favorite bars when I’m in Belltown partying is Ambers. The bar is setup to be very social friendly. The crowd is attractive yet sometimes filled with to many dudes. I have noticed a few fights but they are far and few in between. Over the pass few years the management of Ambers introduced a DJ. The music is very loud which pretty much ruined the social vibe of the bar. The bar itself is located in the middle of the establishment. The customers circle/surround the entire bar and there is an upstairs area also. The upstairs does get pretty warm at times depending on how many people are up there. Reserved parties are can be arranged in this area. Another bar is located upstairs so sometimes it’s easier just to make a trip up there to get your drink. Some of the bartenders are rude but out of the entire staff, it’s just a few bad apples. It’s a little surprising they are still there every time I visit so management isn’t reviewing that. I would say the drinks and food are affordable considering the area. It’s average in that regards. Tia Lous, for all your dancing needs, is located next door but does have a cover charge. There is no charge for Ambers and rarely a line which is nice.
The security team is respectful at closing which I appreciate. The other bars security in the area can be extremely rude (swearing at everyone to get out).

Ambers is located at: 2214 1st Ave Seattle, WA 98121.
Yelp reviewers have described this bar as 2.5 (average). I would rate is higher for quality, being social, and location.

Mitt Romney’s Election Attempt 2012

As Mitt Romney continues to rise over the competition with his recent win of both Arizona and Michigan, one has to think will it be enough?  In this election, I personally want to see more of a dramatic change to just the basic principles and way less government in my life.  The only candidate who will provide that is Mr. Ron Paul.  Unfortunately, the public isn’t ready for that yet, I guess.  Perhaps another 4 or 8 years and they’ll be ready to see the light.  As I said in previous posts, the force is strong with Mitt Romney.  His branding is strong enough to convince people to throw votes his way.  He gets the most spotlight out of all the candidates and that combined with Super Pacs/cash I truly believe he’ll get the nomination and eventually take the White House.  Right or wrong, we will see shortly.

Newt Gingrich is about done at this point, finishing 4th overall yesterday.  He should be stepping down soon.  I wouldn’t be surprised if it happens shortly after March 6th after Super Tuesday (10 states voting).  However, he may do it sooner to save himself from the embarrassment and keep his followers.  Newt Gingrich may take 1 out of the 10 states, his home state of Georgia.  Once there is a clearer picture of who is leading the pack, Newt will quickly endorse them and get reimbursed for his failed campaign.  Ron Paul will hang on longer only to get his message out more.  I believe the public realizes (including myself) he doesn’t have much of a shot but his message is what’s important at this point.

I have been seeing more and more Obama ads on the Internet (YouTube for example).  Like his last election, he will make a strong push for the younger crowd and continue to use the Internet better than anyone else.  He has done well at capturing that audience with him being a social media fan using Twitter.  I’m not confident he’ll have the same younger support this time around though.  I believe the hope and change promised (and over-delivered in his speeches) wasn’t delivered as promised during his presidency.  I’m sure many would disagree with that, though.

Looking forward to Super Tuesday’s 10 states results soon.

Candidates on the debate stage

Update: In the 2012 U.S. presidential election, Mitt Romney was the Republican Party’s nominee running against the incumbent President, Democrat Barack Obama. While Romney won a number of states and received substantial support, he ultimately lost the election to Obama.

In the Electoral College, which is the system used to determine the winner of U.S. presidential elections, Barack Obama secured 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 206. In terms of the popular vote, Obama received around 51% (about 65.9 million votes), while Romney garnered approximately 47% (about 60.9 million votes).

After the election, Mitt Romney congratulated President Obama on his victory and called for political unity to address the challenges facing the nation.

The Commission of a Real Estate Agent

I have discussions about Real Estate Agents a lot. Everybody has an opinion about Real Estate Agents, and the consensus is usually that Real Estate Agents are bad, and the commissions they charge are outrageous.

The Real Estate commission is always negotiable, but most Brokerages hold the line at full commission pricing. There are desk fee Brokerages that allow agents to have more latitude in what they charge. The fact, however is that Brokerages bring stability to the Real Estate industry, and it is a multi billion dollar industry.

Let me start by saying that the Real Estate commission is the cost of doing business. No matter how much time you spend on the internet doing “research” it will never compare to the time an agent spends building a viable commission based Real Estate business model.

You need some one who has been in business, just on a commission basis, for three years. That person should have at least twenty to thirty successful Real Estate closings. Because you pay the same, in most cases, for full commission brokerage, you should probably ask people with more experience to help you.

This is where it gets tricky. Most high performance agents are picky about the clients they work with. If you go in with an attitude that these people should be nice to you because you pay them, and they work for you, you probably won’t get far. Most Top Producers also invest, and have an income stream. They are there to help you. They are in business for an extended period so they want you to be happy.

It’s good for you to be informed, but at some point it’s also good to trust another person to help you make the decisions.

Listing Agents and Open House

I saw a house today that is a pretty good deal. It was an Open House on my way home from church. The house has been on the market for a while judging by the stack of cards there on the entry table. It is an original owner home from the 1950s that is solidly built. It’s 3600 square feet, and priced at $399,950.

OK, it’s a good price, in a good location, in good shape, so why is it sitting there. I asked where the electrical box was, and the agent, who has had the listing for a month looked confused. I asked because the original Square D electrical box had been converted to a junction box.

Now I had already spent enough time in the house, and the agent was there talking with another guy. I seemed to be intruding even though the agent, and I know each other.

So I came home, and looked at the listing on the North West Multiple Listing Service. Holy Cow, it was one of those things that described the other flaky buyer who had backed out. The original listing was intact, but just an agent comment. The picture at least could have been changed.

I think an agent should know all about the house. The cards sitting in the hall way looked bad. It looked as though a whole stack of agents had given the property a pass, for no reason, and surely no explanation to a potential buyer. The house smelled, and an agent, and especially one in the business for as long as this one, would have an air freshener.

It’s a good listing, a good purchase for some one, and some one will buy it. I just think it could have been presented today with more feeling.

Multiple Real Estate Offers

Multiple offers are something to avoid.

I was researching some properties today, mainly getting a sense of how much of the market is short sales, and bank owned properties. The below $350K price range is mostly short sales here in Seattle. In Everett, and Burien the price point of short sales is lower, and in the $200K range. Many of the out lying areas show short sales in the $100K range, but those are for properties that sold for $200k in 2007. That’s where the big price drop statistics come from.

My next search, in Seattle, was in the $350K to $500K range. To my surprise I was finding new listing with comments that offers would be reviewed at some later date. Some listings were to be viewed over this week end, with offers to be submitted on Sunday evening. We haven’t seen that in a while, but it is a standard trick to generate interest.

The same warning should be taken now, as it has been given in the past ten years. The buyer never wins in a multiple offer situation. No matter how good the property looks, there is something wrong with a tactic that creates hype. Make an offer if you want, there is no rush, and even make a low offer. Chances are that in a contrived hysteria the offer that gets accepted will be from some one who is responding to pressure. The chances are very good that the buyer will back out.

Just wait it out, there is something better out there.

Buyer’s Agent & Commissions Talk

While we are talking about Real Estate commissions let’s talk about value. Just because you pay a certain price for a property, or just because other properties sold in the area for a certain price, doesn’t translate into a value.

When an appraiser comes out there are things they look at that add, or subtract from the value of Comparable Properties. Comparable Properties is kind of a meaningless term. I use town homes as my best example. Comparable Town Homes can be just as worthless as the one that is being appraised. Adding value for a view doesn’t translate into a property value. The view has a value, but the property is questionable. I’m told I may need to adjust my prejudice against town homes as time goes on.

The same is true in a property with obsolescence. The interior may be gorgeous, but the systems may need updating. One classic example is when the appraiser, or home inspector notes there is low water pressure in a newly remodeled kitchen, or bathroom. It could be caused by a lot of things, but there is a good chance it’s the pipes. So the remodel is actually a liability to getting at those pipes.

A buyer’s agent should know property value. They should know the market place, but they should also know what has value, and what to avoid. You learn that by looking at houses, closing transactions, and getting feed back. It helps to have taken apart a few places.

People in the Real Estate business, lifers, are worth the time to find. All agents charge the same, but a few have value.

Real Estate Commissions

There has been a lot of discussion about how Real Estate agents get paid. The Real Estate commission is traditionally 6% under $700K and 5% over $700K. It used to be 7% when property prices were lower.

Now that property prices are falling again the commission is an even bigger topic of conversation. People are stuck, having less equity in a home makes it harder to sign up for a fee that takes away 6% of the purchase price.

In commercial Real Estate the commissions can be between 5% and 10%. It depends on the price, and difficulty, but all commissions are negotiable.

I used to charge 3% as a Buyer’s Agent, and if you bought through me it was 1% for me to list the property. In order to sell I could charge 1% if you did what I asked. If the property was in good condition, it photographed well, and it was priced well I had no problem listing for 1%.

In my opinion working with a buyer is harder because there are so many variables. The second part about that is that you have to buy well in order to have any value in a property. There have been times when a transaction was so easy that I only charged a fee to get the property closed, and pay my expenses. Some times I would refer the client to an attorney who could handle legal issues, and I was only paid a fee for the referral, usually about $200.

You can get a Real Estate transaction closed through an attorney for as low as about $1200, to $1600 including escrow fees. The agent is paid, we hope, based on the expertise they bring to the transaction.

Online Real Estate Brokerage

There is a discussion about looking for properties online. For me my first experience was in about 2000. That seems like a long time ago.

The Multiple Listing Service stored data in a central location. The company that handled the data for the Northwest Multiple Listing Service was called Moore Data. I bought a software program from them to do Comparative Market Analysis. It worked great. It made a nice presentation at a time before it became a common tool.

With the program I was also able to share information with other people on line, through e-mails. The e-mail system quickly became a common Real Estate practice. The Real Estate agent would e-mail clients a list of properties. Soon after our Multiple Listing Service began offering an online version of the data base Real Estate agents use.

John L Scott was the first Brokerage that I recall who invested in the technology of online searches in conjunction with Microsoft. Windermere seemed to be dragging their feet. Coldwell banker made the most significant strides nationally.

Then a company called Zillow began the ambitious project of a national data base for Real Estate. Governments had converted sales data to an online system from microfiche. It opened up a whole new world of analysis of tax data.

The next question is, if all of this information was available how did Real Estate prices get so high?

Seattle Snow Storm On The Way

If you watch the news, you obviously know a big snow storm is on the way.  It is predicted to slam Seattle late tonight and tomorrow.  In the event this storm drops more than 7 inches in a 24hr period it could be one of the top 10 storms of all time for the city of Seattle.  Forecasters are predicting 5-10 inches approximately. In Puyallup, Washington (south of Seattle) I know they are sitting on about 1.5 inches currently.  In the event of 9 inches of snow it would be the most in dropped in 27 years.

Facts:

  • The most snow fall in a 24hr period for Seattle was Jan 31st 1916.  Amazingly 21.5 inches fell.
  • In 1985 – 8 inches of snow fell on Seattle Washington.
  • A snow and ice storm in 1996 shut down the city’s Metro for the first time in its history.

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